Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 368.877529 419.248888 475.434320 543.015052 622.443149 713.251937 825.528742
2025-08-31 289.794714 354.124029 432.468693 535.938209 670.540211 841.858050 1079.890098
2025-09-07 250.499286 320.617963 411.011397 538.044907 715.156471 958.227793 1325.826849
2025-09-14 218.189517 289.398319 385.343286 526.970624 735.779772 1040.724447 1536.167070
2025-09-21 196.505052 268.702923 369.754342 525.472054 766.754242 1139.523105 1786.746039
2025-09-28 173.405239 242.917624 343.211579 503.228456 761.484438 1179.631628 1947.801391
2025-10-05 165.077553 237.307306 344.984455 523.406541 824.607371 1338.589888 2345.706987
2025-10-12 158.784888 233.841866 349.225414 547.426907 896.845365 1524.613447 2836.678628
2025-10-19 148.947115 223.794415 341.843718 550.876991 933.291050 1651.689210 3241.280243
2025-10-26 137.140983 209.485132 326.032846 537.707063 937.240667 1716.969643 3529.933950
2025-11-02 127.511072 197.843640 313.459345 528.606850 947.158043 1795.063093 3866.144400
2025-11-09 122.920421 194.099570 313.800399 542.795808 1004.033032 1979.878009 4506.639036
2025-11-16 115.670838 185.462139 305.184871 539.868186 1027.393933 2099.999854 5029.890308
2025-11-23 108.204125 175.891448 294.109233 531.038282 1037.401513 2192.696174 5512.039761
2025-11-30 103.066102 169.966595 289.035447 533.335514 1071.518750 2348.582059 6227.206869
2025-12-07 96.643786 161.257494 278.047080 522.352460 1074.286205 2427.940958 6738.921791
2025-12-14 92.000168 155.429698 271.976811 520.872517 1098.665826 2567.638131 7498.038379
2025-12-21 85.294324 145.353638 256.981061 498.860809 1071.265092 2564.395997 7770.122030
2025-12-28 83.940749 145.153928 261.158029 518.828349 1149.080160 2868.106803 9277.674462
2026-01-04 83.010509 145.668874 266.761280 542.595933 1240.558117 3234.780224 11221.223378
2026-01-11 80.030552 142.016133 263.612592 546.009528 1279.625058 3453.588320 12672.916774
2026-01-18 75.678386 135.403295 253.867495 532.978646 1272.482681 3525.174538 13507.918907
2026-01-25 72.011884 129.932160 246.125786 523.974119 1275.306594 3630.931530 14567.797971